Live Risk · Active Monitoring

Global Seismic Risk Dashboard

Select Region

Real-time ML probability forecasts across 72 seismic regions — 5 magnitude bands, 102 features.

Istanbul 2030 Forecasts → All Forecasts →
10
Active Regions
Global seismic monitoring network
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ML Model
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Earthquakes (7 Days)
M4.5+ USGS data
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System Status
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Spatial View

Seismic Risk Map

Shows dominant band risk per region. Marker color reflects dominant band.

Regions

Region Risk Cards

Probability forecasts across 4 magnitude bands per region. Highest risk band highlighted.

🇹🇷
İstanbul
İstanbul & Marmara
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇹🇷
Maraş
Kahramanmaraş & DAF
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇹🇷
Yedisu
Yedisu (Bingöl-Erzincan)
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇹🇷
İzmir
İzmir & Ege Bölgesi
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇯🇵
Tokyo
Tokyo & Kanto Plain
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇺🇸
San Francisco
San Francisco & Bay Area
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇨🇱
Santiago
Santiago & Central Chile
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇮🇩
Jakarta
Jakarta & Sunda Strait
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇬🇷
Atina
Athens & Central Greece
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🇮🇷
Tahran
Tehran & Alborz Range
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Mindanao
Mindanao & Philippine Trench
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Tohoku
Tohoku & Japan Trench
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Venezuela
Venezuela & El Pilar Fault
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Sulawesi
Sulawesi & Palu-Koro Fault
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Kamçatka
Kamchatka–Kuril Subduction
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Cascadia
Cascadia Subduction
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Nepal
Nepal-Tibet Himalayan
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
San Andreas South
San Andreas South
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Zagros Thrust Belt
Zagros Thrust Belt
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
NZ Alpine Fault
NZ Alpine Fault
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Northern
Northern California — SF Bay & Mendocino
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
PNG New Britain
PNG New Britain–Bismarck
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Tonga
Tonga–Fiji
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Vanuatu
Vanuatu
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Kermadec
Kermadec
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Kuril Islands
Kuril Islands
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Loyalty
Loyalty–S.Vanuatu
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Molucca
Molucca–Halmahera
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Central Chile
Central Chile
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Banda Sea
Banda Sea
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Tonga North
Tonga North
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Santa Cruz Islands
Santa Cruz Islands
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Chiapas
Chiapas–Guatemala
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
PNG Huon
PNG Huon
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Taiwan
Taiwan
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Western Aleutians
Western Aleutians
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
South Sandwich
South Sandwich
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Fiji deep
Fiji deep
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Costa Rica
Costa Rica–Panama
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Bonin
Bonin–Izu
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Bougainville
Bougainville
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Atacama
Atacama
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
North Sumatra
North Sumatra
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Flores Sea
Flores Sea
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Mentawai
Mentawai
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Papua Birds Head
Papua Birds Head
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Haida Gwaii
Haida Gwaii
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Hindu Kush
Hindu Kush
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Guerrero
Guerrero–Oaxaca
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Mariana
Mariana
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
South Peru
South Peru
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Pacific
Pacific-Antarctic Ridge
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Ryukyu
Ryukyu
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
North Kuril
North Kuril
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Papua
Papua–Yapen
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Komandorski
Komandorski
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Sunda
Sunda–Sumbawa
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Colombia
Colombia
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Luzon
Luzon
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Eastern Aleutians
Eastern Aleutians
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
South Chile
South Chile
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Andaman
Andaman–Nicobar
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Hellenic Arc
Hellenic Arc–Crete
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Ecuador
Ecuador
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Jalisco
Jalisco–Colima
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Guam
Guam
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
NZ North
NZ North–Raoul
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Balleny
Balleny
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Java
Java
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Atlantic
Atlantic Equatorial
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Argentina deep
Argentina deep
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
🌍
Alaska Peninsula
Alaska Peninsula
M 4–5  
M 5–6  
M 6–7  
M 7+  
Details Get Report
ML Models

Active Band Models

Independent champion/challenger ML model per magnitude band.

M 4–5
4.0 ≤ M < 5.0
ROC-AUC—
Training Samples—
Last Trained—
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M 5–6
5.0 ≤ M < 6.0
ROC-AUC—
Training Samples—
Last Trained—
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M 6–7
6.0 ≤ M < 7.0
ROC-AUC—
Training Samples—
Last Trained—
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M 7+
M ≥ 7.0
ROC-AUC—
Training Samples—
Last Trained—
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Celestial Mechanics

Celestial Status

Tidal stress (PyEphem/VSOP87), lunar phase, and risk window for today.

🌑
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Lunar Phase — · — km
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Risk Window
Tidal Stress
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Normalized (0–1)
Celestial Index
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Composite risk
Nodal Factor
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Orbital node amplification
Syzygy
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Sun–Moon alignment
Spring Factor
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Combined tidal amplitude
Distance Factor
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Lunar proximity (0–1)
Composite Risk Score
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Live Data

Recent USGS Catalog

M4.5+ earthquakes from the past 30 days (USGS source).

Magnitude Location Date (UTC) Depth Lat / Lon
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System

Pipeline Status

APScheduler tasks: USGS ingestion, GNSS update, model quality control, weekly retraining.

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